The landscape of the NFC is dramatically different from over in the strong AFC. Although that’s the case, the NFC East once again could be one of the most competitive divisions in the league. Three teams made the playoffs last season and Philadelphia even represented the division in the Super Bowl. You never know what to expect year in and year out from the NFC East and that could very well be the case again this season. Now focusing on the NFC side, let’s take a look at what this division could look like in 2023.
*Odds via FanDuel
NFL Over/Under Predictions: NFC East Edition
Eagles (O/U 11.5)
Set at 11.5 for this season, the Philadelphia Eagles have the best projected over/under win total in the NFC. That’s not a surprise as they went 14-3 and lost by just three points to the Chiefs in the Super Bowl. Now the Eagles come into this season maybe even better than last year’s team. Not only do they have MVP candidate Jalen Hurts throwing to A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith but they upgraded a defense through free agency and the draft, even with the loss of a guy like Javon Hargrave. Even with a tougher schedule, with being the best team in the conference and an underwhelming NFC, not taking the over would be a hard sell.
Prediction: Over (2023 win total: 13 wins)
Cowboys (O/U 9.5)
Many see the Dallas Cowboys challenging the Eagles for the NFC East and seeing how the division hasn’t had a repeat winner since 2004, it could be a possibility. Dallas won 12 games last season with Dak Prescott missing five games and they got better by adding Brandin Cooks at wide receiver and Stephon Gilmore at cornerback. Tony Pollard also takes over the reins at running back, logging a 1,000-yard season with nine touchdowns in 2022. While the Cowboys are looking for more out of Prescott in what could be a really good offense, this team’s identity will be their defense and their impressive turnover rate over the last two seasons.
Prediction: Over (11 wins)
Giants (O/U 7.5)
For the first time in more than 10 years, the New York Giants won their first playoff game after going 9-7-1 in Brian Daboll‘s first season as head coach. They come into this season hoping to improve after re-signing both Daniel Jones and Saquon Barkley. If you look at the numbers from last season and the challenges ahead in 2023, it’s easier said than done. In 2022, the Giants were 2-7 against teams with a winning record and a handful of wins were by one score. They also couldn’t stop the run and the secondary was in the bottom half of the league. While they could squeeze out eight wins, it wouldn’t be a surprise if they hit the under either. All of that with the top-5 hardest schedule in 2023 would suggest that regression is very possible with a team dependent on the running back.
Prediction: Over (8 wins)
Commanders (O/U 6.5)
While the Washington Commanders might be the worst team in this division, they have enough to be competitive. The biggest reason that would suggest otherwise would be at the quarterback position. While having some questions around this team, Sam Howell is coming into his second year but his first season as the starter. Even with an offensive mind like Eric Bieniemy as the coordinator, there could be some growing pains. On top of that, they have a pretty tough schedule that could prevent them from hitting the over. The Commanders have talent on offense and what could be a top-10 defense but the lack of depth and play of Howell will be a big reason why they will or won’t hit the over.
Prediction: Under (6 wins)
Other Division Over/Under Predictions:
AFC East
AFC West
AFC North
AFC South
NFC West
NFC North
NFC South
