Unlike last week when there were fewer games to target, this week offers more variety. I’m going to break down the week six NFL DFS under the radar plays. Plays designed to find value and offer a contrarian take on your cash and GPP line-ups. The Houston Texans find themselves in another heavily targeted match-up going on the road to face the Kansas City Chiefs. Patrick Mahomes and Deshaun Watson should light up the scoreboard yet again. But, should we go back to Will Fuller after his blow-up game in week five? I’ll get into that and more for this week’s under the radar plays. (player pricing taken from Draft Kings).
Week Six NFL DFS: Under the Radar Plays
Quarterback: Andy Dalton $5,400
My first thought was to target the Washington Redskins (Case Keenum, $5,000) at the Miami Dolphins (Josh Rosen $4,500) going under the radar. However, that thought quickly made me want to take a shower even though both pass defenses are ranked at the bottom of the NFL. Both could win you the money, but I don’t trust it.
With that being said, I’m going back to the Dalton well. He was a popular play last week at home versus the Arizona Cardinals. This week the Cincinnati Bengals travel to the Baltimore Ravens to face a bottom-five pass defense, in terms of passing yards, with a relatively high implied Las Vegas total of 48 points over/under. I expect the Bengals to be trailing in this game forcing the Bengals game script to pass and pass a lot. This is also a very stackable game.
Week Five Pick: Chase Daniel 15.4 fantasy points. Outcome: Bust!
Running Back:Â Le’Veon Bell $6,400
While this is not a value pick, I think Bell could go a bit under the radar due to the fact that the New York Jets have been a dumpster fire. They do get Sam Darnold back which should improve the efficiency of the offense. I think as Darnold knocks off the rust he leans on the check down, which means targets galore for Bell. The Jets are also a home “dog” getting seven points from Vegas. They will be playing with a chip on their shoulder and the Dallas Cowboys inspire teams to bring their “A” game. The fact that Aaron Jones crushed the Cowboys last week we should expect Bell’s ownership to get a bump. However, given the high implied totals in other games, on the week six slate, I’m willing to bet that’s where most of the ownership will go. That’s why Bell could fly under the radar.
On a side note. By the time this article is published Todd Gurley is ruled out for Sunday and David Johnson could be ruled out for Sunday. That means Malcolm Brown and Chase Edmonds will be your value so that you can jam in the studs. Just continue to monitor the situation up until lock.
Week five pick: Jaylen Samuels. 3.5 fantasy points. Outcome: Bust!
Wide Receiver: Dede Westbrook $5,100
The New Orleans Saints are in the bottom five as a pass defense against passing yards and passing touchdowns. Las Vegas has the game with a high implied total of 50.5 with the Jags as a one and a half point home favorite. The legend of Gardner Minshew continues to grow week by week. He has clearly established rapport with D.J. Chark and is also finding Westbrook. Westbrook was targeted 11 times in a high scoring affair in Carolina and this game should offer more of the same. Additionally, Westbrook is always a broken tackle away from taking a screen pass to pay dirt. He could be this week’s Will Fuller play.
Week five pick: KeeSean Johnson. 5.5 fantasy points. Outcome: Bust!
Tight End: Gerald Everett $3,600
The tight end position looks ugly down in value town. Austin Hooper is a plug-n-play option against the Cardinals. The thing that makes Everett attractive, is that Jared Goff has targeted him 11 and eight times the past two weeks. Add to that the possibility of Brandin Cooks missing (currently in concussion protocol) and Everett could get a few more looks in the passing game. The 49ers are also the toughest defense to run against which means we can predict that Sean McVay continues his unadulterated use of the passing game. The risk is, not only are the Niners stout against the run, but they are also the top defense against the tight end position. I chose Everett on the basis that he will be on the field running routes. However, if Mark Andrews is ruled out for the Ravens, then Hayden Hurst $3,200 becomes a nice under the radar option against the Bengals.
Week five pick: Dawson Knox 3.2 fantasy points. Outcome: BUST!
Defense: New York Jets $1,500
The Cowboys travel to New York licking their wounds. They were just embarrassed on the game of the week versus the Green Bay Packers, and their offensive line is a little beat up with Tyron Smith and La’el Collins nursing injuries. You could consider this a punt play at the defensive position but, upon further review, the Jets are a top-five defensive unit against rushing yards and have shown they can get some interceptions (four on the year). A good friend told me once, “Football is a game of heart. He who has it, wins.” With that being said, if you think the Cowboys bring it to New York, then stack the ‘Boys. If the return of Sam Darnold to the starting line-up sparks the home team and they get the crowd behind them, then I like the Jets as an under the radar defensive play for your week six NFL DFS rosters.
Week five pick: Atlanta Falcons -2.0 fantasy points. Outcome: choking, gagging, BUST!!!
Under the Radar
How will you differentiate from the field? Who do you think is going under the radar? Let’s go for GPP (guaranteed prize pool) glory! There’s some real juice this week at the high end of implied points. Houston-Kansas City and Atlanta-Arizona will garner the most ownership and rightfully so. Stack them for sure. But, don’t forget to mine for gems that are going under the radar. That’s it for week six NFL DFS!
Good luck and good DFS!
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